Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.724005 1.973310 2.247282 2.570913 2.943053 3.357927 3.856024
2025-08-10 1.304740 1.615390 1.985211 2.458739 3.050218 3.766312 4.701645
2025-08-17 1.008375 1.333394 1.747223 2.314464 3.074585 4.061969 5.448456
2025-08-24 0.835558 1.170043 1.621651 2.278798 3.215621 4.510709 6.450170
2025-08-31 0.702567 1.034674 1.506850 2.231245 3.322307 4.916720 7.446183
2025-09-07 0.636343 0.981192 1.495163 2.322845 3.634121 5.651048 9.026470
2025-09-14 0.569749 0.915651 1.453624 2.358867 3.860476 6.280600 10.533919
2025-09-21 0.503377 0.839984 1.384176 2.337339 3.986347 6.760411 11.860529
2025-09-28 0.436631 0.753998 1.285537 2.251323 3.987886 7.026698 12.850840
2025-10-05 0.412972 0.737439 1.300002 2.359651 4.338738 7.939317 15.130268
2025-10-12 0.391990 0.722436 1.314385 2.468064 4.701831 8.918930 17.678712
2025-10-19 0.366476 0.695650 1.303626 2.527064 4.977542 9.767933 20.095134
2025-10-26 0.338050 0.661228 1.276974 2.557137 5.211561 10.589294 22.633560
2025-11-02 0.300859 0.605222 1.202249 2.482095 5.223720 10.968307 24.306822
2025-11-09 0.263116 0.543393 1.108388 2.354948 5.108475 11.064314 25.373750
2025-11-16 0.239857 0.508487 1.064935 2.328452 5.206449 11.633066 27.612857
2025-11-23 0.217808 0.473400 1.016766 2.284977 5.259900 12.109318 29.712600
2025-11-30 0.209638 0.467443 1.030313 2.381739 5.649451 13.414458 34.065469
2025-12-07 0.197602 0.451339 1.019415 2.420271 5.906084 14.441210 37.890728
2025-12-14 0.182493 0.426357 0.985366 2.398990 6.013084 15.116403 40.909720
2025-12-21 0.164586 0.392695 0.927219 2.311050 5.939665 15.325182 42.698766
2025-12-28 0.160619 0.392064 0.947490 2.422598 6.398550 16.984057 48.849042
2026-01-04 0.156707 0.391083 0.966751 2.534144 6.874040 18.760042 55.666907